Would Canadians like to be a part of the United States as Trump wants?
I'm a European, Belgian. We live in a crazy world. I'm trying to make sense of what happens across the Atlantic.
A few days ago the next president of the United States stated he wanted to incorporate Canada into the United States.
What are the reactions of Canadians to Trump's wish to incorporate
their country into the United States?
A more in-depth answer could take into account these questions that I have about the background:
Conveniently we have a recent poll.
Poll suggests 13% of Canadians think Canada should become the 51st American state
The demographic breakdowns show thereâs higher support among men, at 19 per cent, compared with only seven per cent of women.
Conservative party supporters came in at 21 per cent, while one in 10 Liberal voters said they were in favour of the idea. The Peopleâs Party of Canada showed the highest level of endorsement among the federal parties, at 25 per cent, while the NDP was the lowest at six per cent.
A full 82 per cent of respondents said they were opposed to the idea. People in the Atlantic provinces, women and Canadians over the age of 55 were least likely to support it.
(The actual poll, rather than coverage of it is here)
Biggest support in Western states, sorry, provinces is still low:
Not too many undecideds either.
Now, Wexit party, which advocates Alberta leaving Canada had at least one prominent member who was for it. There is considerable sympathy to Trump (or maybe just Trudeau-hate) amongst some of the West. But that still does not make it much to the actual platform of Wexit aka Maverick. Mind you, as Wexit by itself would leave Alberta landlocked and isolated, joining the US would be a somewhat reasonable geopolitical move in that circumstance.
A big part of that rejection is how much Canadians dislike the US health care system, whatever else they find wrong with Canada.
p.s. I consider "51st state" a technicality, as opposed to joining the US or not. People probably would complain about that aspect, if the idea in general was getting much traction. Suggesting each province that joins get its own statehood is unlikely to move the needle much.
p.p.s. I doubt Trump means much by it (probably even less than Greenland). He has a tendency to make jokes, sometimes not very diplomatic ones, in order to be "a man of the people" and appeal to his base. "51st state" is part of that, it's too common a joke about Canadians by Americans and wouldn't be used if he was seriously making diplomatic moves. Think about it in terms of US domestic politics: this would skew the US a lot more towards the Democrats than say allowing the District of Columbia to join as a state. Honestly, if making stupid jokes was the only issue with Trump, no one here would care that much, we'd just be happy not to have elected him. But in the case of Canada he's again threatening to go back on his word re. NAFTA and its successor trade agreement.
There are some in favour, but well short of a majority.
The idea gets more support in Alberta, Saskatchewan, Manitoba and Ontario where about 30% are favourable to the idea, with support stronger among the young.
Such statistics are often skewed, support for joining the USA is strongest among those who don't support the current Prime Minster. People use such polls to express their unhappiness with the current party in power, rather than talk about the actual issues involved.
On the other hand, I can't find any stats on military action, but I'd be fairly sure that Canada would vigorously defend its borders if it were invaded from the South. Trump can be hard to "read", but I don't see anything in his various comments that suggests he would countenance an invasion. Instead, he would look favourably on a request from the government of Canada to accede to the Union.